The complete public history of CERES predictions — weekly snapshots per region, confidence trends, and verified outcomes. Every run archived since launch.
Every prediction on this page was issued publicly before the outcome was known. None have been removed. None have been edited post-hoc. Grading is automated — the system queries FEWS NET / IPC Phase data at T+90 days and records the result without human intervention. Brier scores and calibration metrics on the Validation page are derived directly from this ledger.